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That is: On the flop = number of flush outs x 4 = (13-4)x 4 = 36%. On the turn = number of flush outs x 2 = (13-4)x 2 = 18%. Obviously a "naked" flush draw is not a very good hand to move all-in with on the flop since you are most likely to be up against a much stronger hand if your opponent raises you. Poker Probabilities: Counting Odds and Rule of Thumb ... Outs x 4 = probability of improvement with the turn or river card. If you have an open-ended straight draw (8 outs), then the rule of thumb for the river would give you percentage of winning of 17% (2 x 8 + 1). Calculated exactly, the probability is 17.4%. In an all-in situation on the flop the rule of thumb gives you a chance of winning of 36% (4 x 9), calculated exactly it is 35%.

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List of playing-card nicknames - Wikipedia We'd been playing for a couple of days when a hand came up in which I had a K-9. I made a pretty good hand with it, but lost the pot and went broke.

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